Guess Your Number!

With Liverpool’s Steven Gerrard yesterday confirmed as another big-name absentee from the England squad for Wednesday’s tough international friendly against Germany things are looking pretty bleak for the Three Lions.

But it is defensively that manager Fabio Capello is really feeling the pinch with skipper John Terry rated only 50-50 to start because of a foot injury. Rio Ferdinand, Wes Brown and Ashley Cole are already sidelined so if Terry misses out, Capello will start without his entire preferred back four against a side who reached the final of Euro 2008 and the semi-finals of the 2006 World Cup.

I’m afraid to say this one looks like going Germany’s way! Taking BetUK’s 11/10 on Germany is the value bet to make here.

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Sunday’s live game on Sky (4pm K/O) sees Manchester City travel to this season’s surprise package – Hull. From a psychological point of view Hull have a distinct advantage, because they were preparing for a dogfight from the moment promotion to the Premier League was won. A run of three straight defeats is disappointing for them – but mentally the players have always expected that type of run of results. The same cannot be said for City’s players, who appear ill-equipped for a trip to an unwelcoming venue to face physical, resilient hosts, as awaits them here.

Taking all factors into account we make Hull narrow favourites – which is why the 17/10 available on BetUK is terrific value. Man City are an implausibly short 7/5, with the draw at 9/4 so the the price on the hosts looks too good to miss.

An even better bet than a home victory, however, is over 2.5 goals. Such an outcome has been a consistent feature of games involving these two sides this season – 20 of 24 relevant fixtures (10 out of 12 games for both Hull and Man City) have had three goals or more this season, making the price of 4/5 on overs tremendous value. Even looking solely at Hull’s home games and Man City’ss away games, the stats stand up: four of Hull’s six fixtures at the KC Stadium and four of City’s six games on the road have had over 2.5 goals.

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West Ham travel across London to the cauldron of Stamford Bridge today and have little chance of defying their 12/1 odds to beat Chelsea. Since West Ham’s re-promotion to the top flight in 2005/06, Chelsea have won all six league meetings between the sides and are 1/4 with BetUK to win again today.

Visit Betuk.com for more details.

With just four goals in six away games under former Chelsea player turned West Ham manager Gianfranco Zola, coupled with Chelsea’s defensive record against non-big four sides, and the chances of a home shut out look likely.

Chelsea to win to 1-0 or 2-0 at 6/1 and 5/1 respectively are therefore tempting scorelines to bet on with BetUK.

It is also important to recognise the importance of Didier Drogba to the Chelsea team at home. His physical presence is crucial in breaking down sides who congest their back line to counter the Blues fluid passing, and after bagging one from off the bench in mid-week, the Ivorian is good value at 7/2 to bag the first goal with BetUK.

There could be value in betting on West Ham to score first in tonight’s game against Spurs at Upton Park. Tottenham have conceded first in six of their seven away trips and five of eight games at White Hart Lane this season – one of the worst records in the Premier League.

By contrast, West Ham are far better at scoring first, having done so in four of seven home matches. Those stats indicate a touch of value about the even money price on the hosts scoring the first goal of the game with BetUK.